Please select


For My Business

< R10m annual turnover

For My Business

> R10m annual turnover

Please select


For My Business

< R10m annual turnover

For My Business

> R10m annual turnover

Switch to FNB Business

Product shop

By Turnover

First Business Zero (R0 - R5 million p.a) Gold Business (R0 - R5 million p.a) Platinum Business (R5 million - R60 million p.a) Enterprise Business (R60 million - R150 million+ p.a)

Transact

Business Accounts Credit Cards Cash Solutions Merchant Services eWallet Pro Staffing Solutions ATM Solutions Ways to bank Fleet Services Guarantees

Savings and Investments

Save and Invest 3PIM (3rd Party Investment Manager)

Borrow

FNB Cash Advance Overdraft Loans Debtor Finance Leveraged Finance Private Equity Securities Based Lending Selective Invoice Discounting Asset Based Finance Alternative Energy Solutions Commercial Property Finance Fleet Services

Insure

Insurance

For my employees

Staffing Solutions Employee benefits

Forex + Trade

Foreign Exchange Imports and exports Structured Trade + Commodity Finance Business Global Account (CFC account)

Value Adds + Rewards

Connect my business the dti initiatives Enterprise and supplier development Business Hub eBucks Rewards for Business DocTrail™ CIPC Integration Channel Instant Accounting Solutions Instant Payroll Instant Cashflow Instant Invoicing SLOW 24/7 Business Desk FNB Business Fundaba nav» Marketplace Prepaid products Accounting integrations

Industry Expertise

Philanthropy Chinese Business Islamic Banking Agriculture Public Sector Education Healthcare Franchise Motor Dealership Tourism

Going Global

Global Commercial Banking

Financial Planning

Overview

Bank Better

KYC / FICA Debit order + recipient switching Electronic Alerts

Corporates + Public Sector

Corporate Public Sector

All savings + investment accounts


Cash deposits

Notice deposits Immediate access Access to a portion Fixed deposits

Share investing

Shares

Tax-free investing

Tax-free accounts

Funds/unit trusts

Ashburton specialised products

Invest abroad

Offshore products

I want to save for

Personal goals Child's education Emergencies Tax-free

Compare similar

Compare

Additional options

Show me all Help me chosse Find an advisor

Financial planning

Overview

Back

Trade Ideas

Global trade idea - ETFMG Prime Cyber Security ETF (HACK) - BUY

 

The ETFMG Prime Cyber Security ETF provides investors with effective exposure to the investment performance of the Prime Cyber Defence Index. This index is comprised of various companies around the world operating in the cybersecurity space through both software and hardware developments.

The ETF consist of over 50 different companies. The top five holdings are Crowdstrike (~5.4%), Akamai Technologies (~5.2%), Verisign (~5%), Fortinet (~4.9%) and Palo Alto (~4.8%).

Cybersecurity is a critical aspect of technological expansion and innovation as it encompasses the protection of computer systems, networks, and data from unauthorised access, attacks, and breaches.

Technically, the ETF remains above a key support level (see the trendline on the main chart), making it an attractive investment option. Support refers to a price level at which buying interest is expected to be strong enough to prevent the price from declining further. It acts as a floor and is usually a level where buyers are willing to enter the market.

Upside momentum, according to the MACD indicator and Coppock Curve, as well as upwards movement of the On Balance Volume indicator, supports our bullish bias.

Share Information

Share code HACK
Industry ETFs
Market Capital (USD) 1.39 billion
One year total return 0.10%
Return year-to-date 8.01%
Current price(USD) 47.58
52 weeek high(USD) 51.76
52 week low(USD) 40.65
Financial year end
Closing paragraph The ETF has performed well so far this year but has exhibited a flat performance over a one-year period. We expect moderate price volatility going forward.

Buy/Sell Rationale

Technical Analysis:

  • The lower panel shows previous MACD zero-line crossings, denoted by a reading of 1. This occurs when the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, indicating positive momentum and buying pressure. It may also indicate a potential trend reversal, or the start of a new bullish trend.
  • The crossing is a significant event and has been rare since 2014 (occurring just six times). It is considered a high-quality technical signal.
  • Our entry range for this trade is between $47 and $49 - a drop would indicate a structural change in the trend, providing reason to negate the idea.
  • Our target price is $55 (~16% above current levels).
  • Forward calculations of the RSI suggest the stock will be in overbought territory at around $58, characterising our profit target as realistic.
  • A current RSI reading of 57 versus 30 for oversold territory and 70 for overbought territory, suggests room for further upside.
  • The proposed time to exit is early-August 2023, though investors can adjust for either a longer or shorter horizon, depending on price behaviour.
  • A fall below $46 (~3% below current levels) is of major concern, and as such is recommended as a stop-loss.
  • We suggest a low at-risk allocation for this trade.

Fundamental view:

  • We view cyber security as an underappreciated systemic theme, with resilience in an uncertain macro environment.
  • Over the past decade, cyber-attacks on computer networks and infrastructure have intensified, and these attacks have become more widespread because of the substantial financial incentives for hackers and the like. To curb these threats, governments and private companies are prioritising cyber security spending. Therefore, we expect increased demand for network firewalls, identity management, threat detection and endpoint security solutions.
  • Furthermore, the increase in online commerce, cloud workloads, and data require more protection, which supports the investment case for cyber-security stocks.
  • According to the Morgan Stanley Chief Information Officers (CIO) Survey for 4Q22, nearly 50% of all enterprise application workloads are expected to move to the public cloud by 2025— from 27% at the end of 2022. In line with this mass migration to off-premises application workloads, CIOs also maintained cyber security spending is a priority. As a percentage of total responses, the project category with the largest planned spend increase for 2023 was Security Software (12%).
  • While more capital is being allocated towards cyber security within organisations, this still only accounts for ~6% to 7% of total IT spend on aggregate and is now touching multiple parts of the organisation. This means that cyber security companies have ample room for future growth and market penetration.
  • Risks include competition and the need to continuously adapt and innovate in response to new technologies and threats. While quite defensive, there may still be an element of sensitivity to economic cycles as new project spend may be limited during down-cycles.

Share Name and position STZ - Buy
(Continue to hold)
NCLH - Buy
(Continue to hold)
LIT - Buy
(Continue to hold)
Entry 228.16 14.47 62.48
Current 232.14 14.48 61.56
Movement 1.7% 0.1% -1.5%
Summary text A bullish megaphone pattern remains of interest. The stock is trading just above its 200-day simple moving average. Upside price momentum supports the bullish trend.

Our profit target is $252 with a trailing stop-loss of $222. Exit the position on 21 June 2023.
The stock is trading in a narrow price range and is currently testing its 200-day simple moving average. Upward momentum supports the bullish trend.

Our profit target is $18 with a stop-loss of $13. Exit the position on 19 July 2023.
A falling wedge pattern in a previous uptrend remains intriguing. The stock is trading below its 200-day simple moving average, though recent upside momentum supports the bullish trend.

Our profit target is $71 with a stop-loss of $59. Exit the position on 30 August 2023.

Share Name and position HLMN - Buy
(Continue to hold)
VXF - Buy
(Continue to hold)
REMX - Buy
(Continue to hold)
Entry 8.01 139.26 84.60
Current 7.86 136.67 80.87
Movement -1.9% -1.9% -4.4%
Summary text The price is exhibiting repetitive cycles in sequences. The stock dipped below its 200-day simple moving average. Downside momentum is of concern.

Our profit target is $10 with a stop-loss at $7.50. Exit the position on 10 October 2023.
An incomplete symmetrical triangle pattern is of interest. The ETF dipped below its 200-day simple moving average, though fading downside momentum supports the bullish trend.

Our profit target is $153 with a stop-loss at $134. Exit the position on 2 November 2023.
A bullish Elliott wave pattern remains of interest. The stock remains just below its 200-day simple moving average. Fading upside momentum is a concern.

Our profit target is $99 with a stop-loss at $79. Exit the position on 21 July 2023.