Please select


For My Business

< R10m annual turnover

For My Business

> R10m annual turnover

Please select


For My Business

< R10m annual turnover

For My Business

> R10m annual turnover

Switch to FNB Business

Product shop

By Turnover

First Business Zero (R0 - R5 million p.a) Gold Business (R0 - R5 million p.a) Platinum Business (R5 million - R60 million p.a) Enterprise Business (R60 million - R150 million+ p.a)

Transact

Business Accounts Credit Cards Cash Solutions Merchant Services eWallet Pro Staffing Solutions ATM Solutions Ways to bank Fleet Services Guarantees

Savings and Investments

Save and Invest 3PIM (3rd Party Investment Manager)

Borrow

FNB Cash Advance Overdraft Loans Debtor Finance Leveraged Finance Private Equity Securities Based Lending Selective Invoice Discounting Asset Based Finance Alternative Energy Solutions Commercial Property Finance Fleet Services

Insure

Insurance

For my employees

Staffing Solutions Employee benefits

Forex + Trade

Foreign Exchange Imports and exports Structured Trade + Commodity Finance Business Global Account (CFC account)

Value Adds + Rewards

Connect my business the dti initiatives Enterprise and supplier development Business Hub eBucks Rewards for Business DocTrail™ CIPC Integration Channel Instant Accounting Solutions Instant Payroll Instant Cashflow Instant Invoicing SLOW 24/7 Business Desk FNB Business Fundaba nav» Marketplace Prepaid products Accounting integrations

Industry Expertise

Philanthropy Chinese Business Islamic Banking Agriculture Public Sector Education Healthcare Franchise Motor Dealership Tourism

Going Global

Global Commercial Banking

Financial Planning

Overview

Bank Better

KYC / FICA Debit order + recipient switching Electronic Alerts

Corporates + Public Sector

Corporate Public Sector

All savings + investment accounts


Cash deposits

Notice deposits Immediate access Access to a portion Fixed deposits

Share investing

Shares

Tax-free investing

Tax-free accounts

Funds/unit trusts

Ashburton specialised products

Invest abroad

Offshore products

I want to save for

Personal goals Child's education Emergencies Tax-free

Compare similar

Compare

Additional options

Show me all Help me chosse Find an advisor

Financial planning

Overview

Back

Trade Ideas

Global Trade Idea: L3Harris Technologies Inc. (LHX) - BUY

 

By Peet Serfontein & Khumbulani Kunene

L3Harris Technologies, Inc. is an aerospace and defence technology innovator. LHX designs, develops, and manufactures radio communications products and systems for the defence industry. Formed through the merger of L3 Technologies and Harris Corporation in 2019, the company provides advanced defence and commercial technologies across air, land, sea, space, and cyber domains.

L3Harris services governments and commercial customers in more than 100 countries, including the US Department of Defence and allied governments. Its product offerings include making tactical communications and other integrated vision solutions; air traffic management; and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems.

Technically, a price in a developing symmetrical triangle pattern presents a promising investment opportunity (see the black converging trendlines on the main chart). A developing symmetrical triangle pattern after an uptrend can be regarded as a bullish signal as it often represents a period of consolidation before the trend resumes. Should a break above the upper trendline of the triangle occur, it may confirm the continuation of the preceding uptrend.

A "buy" signal on the weekly Bollinger Bands acts as additional bullish support (see the insert). While the indicator measures volatility, when the price moves from the lower band towards the middle or upper band it suggests that selling pressure is diminishing.

Fading downside price momentum according to the MACD indicator, as well as the recent upward trajectory of the on-balance volume (OBV) indicator, supports our bullish view.

Share Information
Share Code LHX
Industry Capital Goods
Market Capital (USD) 42.27 billion
One Year Total Return 9.97%
Return Year-to-Date 5.98%
Current Price (USD) 222.86
52 Week High (USD) 265.74
52 Week Low (USD) 200.18
Financial Year End December
The stock appears to be finding support at its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $228.25 and has recently crossed its 200-week SMA.

Consensus Expectations (Bloomberg)
FY23 FY24E FY25E FY26E
Headline Earnings per Share (USD) 12.36 13.07 14.18 15.64
Growth (%) 5.74 8.47 10.29
Dividend Per Share (USD) 4.56 4.65 4.87 5.10
Growth (%) 2.04 4.73 4.66
Forward PE (times) 17.05 15.72 14.25
Forward Dividend Yield (%) 2.09 2.19 2.29
Earnings growth is expected to increase gradually over the short-to-medium term.

Buy/Sell Rationale:

Technical Analysis:

    • The lower panel shows occurrences of the Three Outside Up Japanese candlestick pattern, denoted by a reading of 1. This is a strong bullish reversal signal and consists of three candles, with the first candle being a small bearish candle, the second candle being a larger candle that fully engulfs the body of the first candle, and a third candle that closes higher than the second, confirming a reversal.
    • Our recommended entry range is $218.00 to $228.00 or as close as possible to $222.86 - a drop below this range would indicate a substantial change in price dynamics, giving reason to negate the trade idea.
    • Our target price is $246.00, representing ~10.4% upside from current levels.
    • Based on the forward calculation of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, the stock will be overbought at ~ $340.00, making our profit target realistic.
    • Our proposed time to exit is beginning-April 2025, but investors can adjust for either a longer or shorter time horizon, depending on price behaviour.
    • A drop below $214.00, ~4% below current levels, would suggest weakening technicals and a stop-loss is recommended at this level.
    • We expect moderate fluctuations in the price and therefore suggest a medium at-risk allocation for this trade. Increase exposure for a break above $228.00.

Fundamental view

    • L3Harris Technologies, Inc. operates through four business segments, namely Space & Airborne Systems (SAS), Integrated Mission Systems (IMS), Communication Systems (CS), and Aerojet Rocketdyne (AR):
      • SAS (35% of revenue) offers sensors and full-mission solutions, space payloads, classified intelligence and cyber; avionics; electronic warfare; and mission networks for air traffic management operations.
      • IMS (35% of revenue) offers intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) solutions; passive sensing and targeting; electronic attack; autonomy; power and communications; networks; sensors; aviation products; and pilot training operations.
      • CS (25% of revenue) includes tactical communications with global communications solutions; broadband communications; integrated vision solutions; and public safety radios, system applications, and equipment.
      • AR (5% of revenue) offers missile solutions with propulsion technologies missile defence, and hypersonic and tactical systems, and space propulsion and power systems for national security space and exploration missions.
    • LHX is one of the top six largest defence contractors in the US. Appetite for defence solutions remains robust, underpinned by strong domestic and international government spend.
    • The threat of prevailing geopolitical conflicts, particularly in Ukraine and the Middle East (notwithstanding the recent cease-fire agreement between Israel and Hamas), evolving into a bigger global conflict remains a risk and as such present an opportunity for companies within the defence sector.
    • LHX has a history of continuous innovation. Recently, the company has partnered with the US Navy to deliver the first Autonomous Undersea Vehicles (AUVs) powered by advanced lithium-ion batteries approved for submarine use.
    • The company remains well-positioned to benefit from expected offshore growth, post-merger synergies (following its acquisition of Aerojet Rocketdyne in 2023), and its continued focus on operational excellence and innovation.
    • The group's 3Q24 results showed a resilient performance, underscored by solid organic growth, the contribution from the integration of Aerojet Rocketdyne, a higher book-to-bill ratio reflecting increased demand, and steady margin development. Cash flow generation was robust, with double-digit growth y/y, driven by higher net income and lower transaction costs relative to the base period. In terms of the outlook, management updated its full-year guidance for target cost savings to exceed previously marked $400 million, to at least $600 million, which bodes well for further margin improvement.
    • From a risk perspective, US government dependency can be a potential threat to the company's business model should there be structural changes such as changes in government defence budgets. In as much as heightened geopolitical conflict may drive demand, externalities such as sanctions and trade restrictions, can limit LHX's ability to serve international clients.

Share Name and Position TDG US - Buy
(Continue to hold)
KMX US - Buy
(Continue to hold)
AMGN US - Buy
(Continue to hold)
Entry 1 292.86 76.44 267.10
Current 1 358.01 79.50 274.81
Movement +5.0% +4.0% +2.9%
A smaller steep upward tilting inclining channel pattern remains of interest. Crossed above its 200-day simple moving average. Fading downside price momentum is supportive.

Our profit target remains at $1 500.00 with a trailing stop-loss $1 284.00. Exit the trade by 14 February 2025
A developing ascending triangle pattern remains of interest. Remains above its 200-day simple moving average. Downside price momentum is concerning.

Our profit target remains at $90.00 with a trailing stop-loss at $74.30. Exit the trade by 31 January 2025.
A price in a steady upward trend remains of interest. Remains above its 200-week simple moving average. Fading downside price momentum is supportive.

Our profit target remains at $300.00 with a trailing stop-loss at $260.00. Exit the trade by 26 March 2025.

Share Name and Position XLK US - Buy
(Continue to hold)
DOV US - Buy
(Continue to hold)
Entry 230.09 194.48
Current 236.06 194.41
Movement +2.6% +2.0%
A price in wave 5 of the Elliott wave pattern remains of interest. Remains above its 200-day simple moving average. Downside price momentum has halted, which is supportive.

Our profit target remains at $256.00 with a trailing stop-loss at $226.00. Exit the trade by 24 January 2025.
Seasonal trends in the price remains of interest. Remains above its 200-day simple moving average. Fading downside price momentum is supportive.

Our profit target remains at $214.00 with a trailing stop-loss at $190.50. Exit the trade by 9 May 2025.

FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd, a subsidiary of FirstRand Bank Limited, an authorised Financial Services Provider and authorised user of the JSE limited (Reg no: 1996/011732/07). This Publication note is issued by FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd for the information of clients only and should not be produced in whole or part without prior permission. Although FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd is an Authorised Financial Services Provider, any opinions and/or analysis contained in this Publication are for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice, including but not limited to financial, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to invest in any security or to adopt any investment strategy. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources/persons which we believe to be reliable but is not guaranteed for correctness, completeness or otherwise and we do not assume liability for loss arising from errors in the information or that may be suffered from using or relying on the information contained herein irrespective of whether there has been any negligence by us, our affiliates or any other employees of us, and whether such losses be direct or consequential. As market and economic conditions are subject to rapid change, any comments, opinions, and analysis is rendered as of the date of publishing and may change without notice. Such changes may have a material impact on the outcome of any investment. Securities involve a degree of risk and are volatile instruments. Past performance is not indicative of future performances. Securities or financial instruments mentioned in the Publication note may not be suitable for all investors and FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd has bares no responsibility whatsoever arising from or as a consequence hereof. The material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any share, instrument, sector, region, market, country, investment, or strategy. The recipient of this Publication must make their own investment decision and is advised to contact his relationship manager for a personal financial analysis prior to making any investment decisions. Copyright 2018 by FNB Stockbroking and Portfolio Management (Pty) Ltd.