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Introduction to financial ratios: profitability

 

Introduction to financial ratios: profitability

Equity investors may have access to research reports and other market-related information like articles and models. However, the language used therein often comes across as very technical. It is important to have a basic understanding of certain key concepts (and jargon) to optimally utilise the information presented by the experts and to increase the value that these reports and articles provide. Although the use of financial ratios has its limitations, it can provide very useful insight into a company. Financial ratios aim to measure the relative and absolute strengths and weaknesses of a company. Analysts use this information to estimate the future profitability and sustainability of a business, as well as possible risks to cash flows and income. Ratio comparisons resulting in large deviations from the norm are only a symptom of a potential problem and further analysis of the firm’s financial statements, coupled with discussions with management, are generally required to isolate the cause of the deviation.

Making sense of financial ratios

Applying a formula to financial data to calculate a ratio is only the first step in making sense of financial statements. The more important step is the interpretation of these ratios. Almost none of them can be analysed on a stand-alone basis. To decide if a ratio is "too high or too low" or "good or bad", a benchmark is required.

  • Industry comparative analysis: It can be useful to compare the financial ratios of different companies in the same industry at the same point in time. The firm’s performance can be compared either to that of the industry leader or to industry averages
  • Time series analysis: One may also evaluate financial ratios of the same company and how they change over time.

Ratio categories

Different ratios will provide insight into different factors impacting the investment case for the company.

  • Profitability measures look at the companies' ability to generate profit that will hopefully grow over time. This entails most activities of a company including sales, efficient production and cost management and marketing products or services at sufficient margins.
  • Liquidity ratios look at the companies' ability to satisfy its short-term obligations as and when they become due. In other words, does the company have sufficient cash to continue its day-to-day operations?
  • Solvency, debt, and leverage ratios is the extent to which the companies' assets exceed its' liabilities. Solvency differs from liquidity in that liquidity pertains to the settlement of short-term liabilities, while solvency pertains to the excess of total assets over total liabilities. Debt and leverage ratios are similar in that they examine the debt and interest burden that a company has relative to its assets and its ability to service the debt.
  • Activity and efficiency ratios measure the speed of converting inventory and sales into cash, as important indirect profitability factors.

Important financial ratios

The more commonly used equity market ratios are covered in this section.

1. Return on Equity (ROE)

ROE measures the return earned on the owners' (shareholders) investment. The ROE of a company can be compared with industry peers as well as its own history - the higher the ROE, the better.

The Du Pont analysis is a more comprehensive way of calculating ROE, by dividing the calculation into the three variables that influence ROE. These are profitability (the net profit margin), activity (asset turnover) and leverage (also called gearing). This gives analysts a deeper understanding into the companies return on equity and where improvements can be made.

2. Return on net assets (RONA)

RONA is closely related to ROE and can be calculated as follows:

The return on assets shows how efficiently the company has utilised its assets to generate a profit. This clarifies redundant assets or lack of productive assets relative to industry norms as well as the company's own history. The higher the RONA, the better.

3. Market ratios

a) Earnings per share

EPS measures profit relative to each ordinary share in issue. It is usually carefully monitored by investment analysts and portfolio managers. It is important to consider business profits per share, as additional shares issued will lower the economic interest of a share and ultimately may have an impact on cash returns per share (like dividends).

The EPS does not represent the earnings distributed to shareholders. The earnings distributed to ordinary shareholders are reflected by the dividend per share. This ratio is useful when comparing it to the historical EPS of the company but may lose value when comparing it to other industry shares because companies generally don't have the same number of shares in issue.

b) Price-earnings (PE) ratio

The PE ratio is a very effective tool and a simple way for analysts and investors to determine the relative value of a share. It also makes it easy to compare the value of a company (as it relates to profitability) relative to its peers and its own history.

  • A PE must be compared either to history or to peers in order to hold analytical value. A higher PE will mean the share is more expensive with the opposite being true for a lower PE.
  • It is important to look at the PE ratio relative to the company's expected growth profile. If higher earnings growth is expected from the company it could result in a higher PE - because markets are forward looking, investors may be willing to pay more for a stock relative to earnings if earnings are going to grow at a faster pace in future.
  • PE ratios can be historical or forward. The historical PE measures the last known earnings per share relative to the current market price, while the forward PE uses expected future earnings per share. Both are useful under various circumstances, but investors should ensure they are comparing "apples with apples".
  • The forward PE needs to be measured on a rolling 12-month basis (so expected earnings over the next 12 months) because different companies have different financial year ends. Simply using the next financial year end's expected earnings could yield vastly different results. For example, Vodacom has a March year end and MTN has a December year end. If the forward PE is not calculated on a rolling 12-month basis, you will, in January, be looking at a forward PE only factoring in three months of future earnings (Vodacom) versus a forward PE factoring in 12 months of future earnings

c) Headline Earnings:

Headline earnings account for all the profits and losses from operational, trading, and interest activities. Excluded in headline earnings are once-off profits or losses related to non-core income like the sale or termination of discontinued operations, fixed assets, or related businesses. Permanent devaluation and write offs are also excluded. This figure is used to compare and contrast companies without the sometimes-big profits and/or losses that are once-off occurrences and not part of ongoing income creating potential.

Analysts often use headline earnings per share (HEPS) to calculate PE's in order to make comparisons more valuable.

d) Dividend per share (DPS) and Dividend Yield (DY)

The dividend per share is the actual cash flow shareholders receive. It can also be expressed as a dividend yield or DY.

Dividends per share and dividend yields are important factors for income generating portfolios and investors that require a cash income from their investments, like pensioners. Consistent and high dividend yields are preferred for these investment objectives and can be compared to annual investment rates and other alternative investments.

DPS and DY do not measure the profitability of the company, but only the part of profits paid out to shareholders. It is also important to note that even though some companies pay dividends consistently, it is not compulsory like interest and coupon payments.

e) EBITDA - (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortisation)

EBITDA is not as daunting as the name implies. It effectively excludes all costs not directly related to the main operations of a company, being interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation. It is a good measure of a company's ability to make money out of its core business operations. Although interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation impact the net profitability of a firm, EBITDA reduces the financial noise down to a single number that represents core business operations income.

Analysts can make better comparisons of similar businesses in the same industries, as well as focus on how well the company is faring operationally.

4. The debt ratio (or debt-to-assets ratio)

The debt ratio measures the proportion of total liabilities relative to its total assets.

The higher this ratio, the more financial leverage the firm has. This figure is of particular importance during periods of rising interest rates. Higher interest rates result in higher interest on loans. This means that the firm will have to ensure that it generates sufficient cash to cover higher interest payments.

5. The debt-to-equity ratio

The debt-to-equity ratio illustrates the relationship between the long-term funds provided by creditors and those provided by the firm's owners. It is commonly used to measure the degree of financial leverage of the firm.

This figure is meaningful only if viewed against the background of the nature of the firm's business. Firms with large amounts of fixed assets, stable cash flows, or both, typically have high debt-equity ratios, while less capital-intensive firms, or firms with volatile cash flows, or both, tend to have lower debt-equity ratios. The industry average will generally provide a good basis for comparison of the debt-equity ratio.

How to use ratios and analysis reports effectively:

Financial market ratios and calculations can give a great amount of insight into the current position and prospects of a company. This presupposes the correct use and application of these variables.

  • A single ratio does not provide sufficient information to allow you to judge the overall performance of the company. Only when a compared with either peers or history, do realistic judgments become possible.
  • It is important to take the competitive environment and macro-economic conditions into account. When economic conditions change, some of these metrics may look either too low or too high but it may be a temporary situation.
  • Inexperienced investors should preferably consume secondary research created by their brokers or other analysts, rather than relying purely on their own research. Comparing various analyst views and incorporating consensus views (if available) can assist with making better investment decisions.
  • Company analysis is a non-exact science. Even the most successful and astute traders, investors and analysts can be wrong.