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Fuel price and the impact on South Africans

 

Consumer prices in South Africa are rising at an alarming rate, the Russia and Ukrainian war as well the slowdown in Chinese economic recovery. Together these events have contributed to rising CPI rates impacting the pockets of South African consumers.

What is CPI?

The Consumer Price Index or (CPI) measures monthly changes in prices for a range of consumer products. Changes in the CPI record the rate of inflation. The CPI is an indication of the increase in the cost of living and the higher the index, the higher the increase in consumer good prices over a given period.

How does fuel fit into the latest CPI increase?

The fuel price is the major contributing factor to the overall Consumer Price Index (CPI). The results from the latest CPI increase indicated that if fuel was removed from the CPI reading, the headline rate falls to 5.1% from the 6.5% CPI total figure.

How do fuel prices indicators impact South Africans?

Fuel price impact on SA consumers

  1. SA consumers will experience a higher cost when refuelling their vehicle should the possess one, but the impact does not stop at vehicle owners.
  2. SA consumers travelling by bus or taxi will experience an increase in fee on account of higher operating costs for the bus and taxi owners.
  3. The increase in fuel prices, means an increase in logistic costs. Higher logistic costs result in higher on shelf costs of items such as food and clothing.

Fuel price impact on SA savers

  1. To successfully save, South Africans need to outperform inflation. When returns are lower than the increase in the cost of living, wealth is working backwards as capital balances will be able to buy less. Increasing fuel prices, means higher returns need to be achieved in order for wealth to maintain or increase in value.
  2. With CPI reading 6.5% in May, savers need to ensure their money is growing at a higher rate. Traditional saving accounts may not offer higher enough returns in order to outperform inflation and thus alternative savings instruments like money market, fixed deposit and notice accounts should be considered by SA savers:

Money market account: Money market accounts are offered by traditional banks. A money market account has similar characteristics to a traditional savings account, however, typically provides investors with a higher interest return. Money market accounts require customers to deposit minimum amounts and then maintain that minimum balance. The interest rates offered are variable and linked to the Repo rate. The higher the Repo rate the better the returns, and with the latest increase in Repo rate makes for an attractive savings consideration.

Money market fund: A money market fund is a kind of mutual fund that invests in highly liquid near-term money market securities such as cash, cash equivalent securities, and bonds with a short-term, maturity of less than 13 months. Although not as safe as the money market account, this long-term savings vehicle is still viewed as a low-risk asset, providing higher returns than the standard savings account.

Notice deposit: This is a savings account linked to the Repo rate, that requires an investor to give notice before taking funds out of the account. The longer the notice period the higher the interest returns offered by the financial institution.

Fixed deposit: This instrument allows investors to fix the interest received over a fixed period. The longer the period fixed, the higher the returns offered. This instrument allows investors to receive reliable and consistent cash flow in the form of fixed interest returns and can be used by both risk averse investors, and investors looking to hedge market risk with a reliable cash flow.

Fuel price impact on SA retirees

  1. SA retirees will pay more for goods and services on account of rising fuel prices. This may mean having to dip into retirement lump sums to fund short term expenses on account of the increase in prices.
  2. This should be avoided at all costs, as disturbing long-term funds can impact future monthly annuities from retirement vehicles.
  3. Withdrawing capital amounts will have an impact on compounding returns as well as may be liable for early withdrawal penalties. As a precaution, emergency savings should be placed in short term cash instruments to assist when expenses increase and have no impact on future returns for monthly annuities into retirement.
  4. Should funds be needed because of higher costs, always consider the options available before withdrawing from long term funds or borrowing at high interest rates. Contact an FNB financial advisor who is ready and willing to assist with the best possible option.

In closing

SA consumers, savers and retirees need to be prepared for increasing fuel prices and the knock-on effect this will have on everyday items. Money must be working for you and achieving a higher rate of return for wealth to grow. The combination of the Russian war and sanctions imposed mean fuel prices may likely increase. South Africans must be prepared by ensuring current savings are keeping up with the increase in the cost and protecting long term funds as bets as possible by not withdrawing early as a result.